tmmonline.nz  |   landlords.co.nz        About Good Returns  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  RSS Feeds

NZ's Financial Adviser News Centre

GR Logo
Last Article Uploaded: Saturday, April 17th, 3:12PM

Mortgages

rss
Latest Headlines

ANZ predicts fewer OCR cuts

ANZ has revised its forecast for the official cash rate, predicting only one cut next year to 0.1%.

Thursday, January 14th 2021, 9:24AM

The central bank rate is currently at 0.25% following emergency cuts in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. With the economy limping along, economists are divided on whether the Reserve Bank will slash the OCR to zero, or into negative territory. 

ANZ, until now, had predicted negative rates next year, but the bank's team of economists, led by Sharon Zollner, have changed their minds. 

They predict the OCR will be cut in May, but say the central bank will avoid negative rates. 

ANZ's team believe monetary policy measures, such as slashing the OCR, a Funding for Lending Programme, and quantitative easing, have done their job in stimulating the economy. 

Positive developments with a Covid-19 vaccine, strong commodity prices for NZ exports, and the successful elimination strategy are further reasons to suggest the RBNZ won't need to cut the OCR much further, Zollner and co said. 

ANZ also noted a stronger medium term inflation outlook. 

While the bank is predicting further cuts, it says the RBNZ could opt to keep rates as they are.

"If the housing market and domestic economy maintains momentum well into autumn, the RBNZ will not cut again at all," the team said in its latest report. "If Covid-19 returns to our shores in a significant way, a negative OCR will once more be game on."

"We expect the RBNZ to maintain a dovish bias for a long time yet in order to head off any premature tightening in monetary conditions that would undermine improvement in inflation and the labour market," the team added.

Tags: ANZ OCR OCR forecasts

« Little hope on turnaround timesLending predictions for 2021 »

Special Offers

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Sign In to add your comment

 

print

Printable version  

print

Email to a friend
News Bites
Latest Comments
Subscribe Now

Mortgage Rates Newsletter

Daily Weekly

Previous News

MORE NEWS»

Most Commented On
Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA 4.55 2.29 2.59 2.65
ANZ 4.44 2.89 3.25 3.39
ANZ Special - 2.29 2.69 2.79
ASB Bank 4.45 2.29 2.59 2.65
Basecorp Finance 5.49 - - -
Bluestone 3.49 3.34 2.99 3.34
BNZ - Classic - 2.29 2.59 2.79
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.15 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 4.60 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 4.55 2.89 3.19 3.39
BNZ - TotalMoney 4.55 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
CFML Loans 4.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 4.49 4.70 4.80 4.95
China Construction Bank Special - 2.65 2.65 2.80
Credit Union Auckland 5.45 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 5.65 3.95 3.85 -
Credit Union South 5.65 3.95 3.85 -
First Credit Union Special 5.85 2.95 3.45 -
Heartland Bank - Online 2.50 1.99 2.35 2.45
Heretaunga Building Society 4.99 3.40 3.50 -
HSBC Premier 4.49 2.25 2.35 2.65
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
HSBC Special - 2.25 - -
ICBC 3.69 2.25 2.35 2.65
Kainga Ora 4.43 2.67 2.97 3.13
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - 2.25 - -
Kiwibank 3.40 3.20 3.50 3.50
Kiwibank - Offset 3.40 - - -
Kiwibank Special 3.40 2.35 2.65 2.65
Liberty 5.69 - - -
Nelson Building Society 4.95 3.20 3.24 -
Pepper Essential - - - -
Resimac 3.39 3.35 2.99 3.35
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Bank 4.54 2.79 ▲2.99 ▲3.29
SBS Bank Special - 2.29 ▲2.49 ▲2.79
Select Home Loans 3.49 3.34 2.99 3.34
The Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 2.09 - -
The Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.40 2.29 2.59 2.79
The Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.40 2.79 3.09 3.29
TSB Bank 5.34 3.09 3.29 3.45
TSB Special 4.54 2.29 2.49 2.65
Wairarapa Building Society 4.99 3.55 3.49 -
Westpac 4.59 3.09 3.29 3.39
Westpac - Offset 4.59 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 2.29 2.69 2.79
Median 4.55 2.73 2.99 2.80

Last updated: 12 April 2021 8:56am

About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy  |  RSS Feeds  |  Letters  |  Archive  |  Toolbox
 
Site by Web Developer and eyelovedesign.com