tmmonline.nz  |   landlords.co.nz        About Good Returns  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  RSS Feeds

NZ's Financial Adviser News Centre

GR Logo
Last Article Uploaded: Friday, December 6th, 9:36AM

News

rss
Latest Headlines

Plans to buy shares swing upwards

Consumers are planning to reduce spending in the next three months, but stocks is one area where buying intentions are on the rise.

Thursday, April 6th 2023, 2:45PM

by Andrea Malcolm

Respondents to a monthly survey by independent economist Tony Alexander shows a slight easing in the level of pessimism consumers feel towards spending going forward – but only back to levels of two months ago.

A net 27 per cent of the 438 respondents in the April survey report plans to cut spending in the next three to six months – an improvement from the net 37 per cent negative of March but still well below the average reading of a net 4 per cent positive spending intentions.

But four areas where people plan to spend more are groceries (unavoidable due to rising costs), international travel, domestic travel and shares. Strong cutbacks remain planned for eating out, furniture and appliances.

Share buying intentions have turned positive for the first time since September last year, according to the survey.

“I think the results partly reflect on the resilience of the share markets in the face of recent events such as Silicon Valley Bank collapsing, Signature Bank and Credit Suisse. When these things happened four weeks ago, obviously the markets weakened a bit and people were concerned but they were sorted out really quickly,” says Alexander.

“Secondly, and this is a continuation of taking the guide from US markets, the view for US monetary policy has changed. US wholesale interest rates have fallen quite a bit in the past four weeks and so that naturally leads people to look at other assets.

“So I personally think a lot of us are driven by the events in the United States and the resilience of the sheer market rather than any particular view on monetary policy in New Zealand, or the New Zealand economy.”

Meanwhile property investors remain stuck with a net 14.6 per cent of respondents planning reduced investment property spending.

Alexander says the reticence on property investment is likely to be an element in the renewed interest in the stock markets.

A  net –3.7 per cent of respondents indicated plans to reduce spending on a house to live in which was an improvement on –7.8 per cent reading for March and the least negative result since October last year.  But it is still negative and suggestive of housing market weakness.

Alexander says the results for property investment are the second weakest reading on record and confirms one of his key points about the housing market - that first home buyers are returning but investors are as inactive as ever.

“That's what the government has been wanting for a long time. They have actively disincentivised people from buying existing residential property with the tax regime favouring getting something built.

“It's consistent with the other readings I get from surveys on real estate and mortgage advisers that the residential property investors are just standing right back from the markets.”

The most unusual development for this month has been a resurgence in plans to travel overseas – something which acts as a drag on other areas of spending and is not generally what economists would expect to see with householders so pessimistic about the future, says Alexander.

Tags: Tony Alexander

« Kiwis risk missing out with limited benchmarksTough times ahead for NZ economy: Nikko economist »

Special Offers

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Sign In to add your comment

 

print

Printable version  

print

Email to a friend
News Bites
Latest Comments
  • Partners kills its matrix
    “@Backstage, thanks. I agree there is no relationship to CoFI, though, from a service perspective, I have two other providers...”
    2 days ago by JPHale
  • Partners kills its matrix
    “Partners Life has decided to stop using its COM for advisers as it believes the system may breach the CoFI regulations which...”
    3 days ago by Amused
  • Partners kills its matrix
    “Insurance companies should stick to their lane. They are not advisers and even those that employ advisers should not be crossing...”
    3 days ago by Tash
  • [GRTV] The nitty gritty of Smart’s ETFs
    “Advisors should consider all gateways into investment markets including cheaply priced ETFs to provide access to low priced...”
    3 days ago by Pragmatic
  • DRS member or not - client care remains advisers’ responsibility
    “FAPs are members of DRS too. Substitute “adviser” for “FAP” and the story is actually a lot more accurate. If...”
    4 days ago by Aggressively_passive
Subscribe Now

Weekly Wrap

Previous News
Most Commented On
Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 4.94 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ANZ 7.39 6.39 6.19 6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.79 5.59 5.59
ASB Bank 7.39 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance ▼7.90 - - -
Basecorp Finance ▼8.35 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.54 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.54 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.44 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.54 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 5.69 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 6.95 5.79 5.59 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 6.95 6.29 6.09 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - ▼5.99 ▼5.89 -
First Credit Union Standard ▼7.69 ▼6.69 ▼6.39 -
Heartland Bank - Online 6.99 ▼5.49 ▼5.39 ▼5.45
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.60 6.65 6.40 -
ICBC 7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.25 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset 7.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.25 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 7.94 ▼5.75 ▼5.99 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank 7.49 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - 6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 4.94 5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank 8.19 6.49 ▼6.39 ▼6.39
TSB Special 7.39 5.69 ▼5.59 ▼5.59
Unity 7.64 ▼5.79 ▼5.55 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society ▼7.70 ▼5.95 ▼5.75 -
Westpac 7.39 6.39 6.09 6.19
Westpac Choices Everyday 7.49 - - -
Westpac Offset 7.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 5.79 5.49 5.59
Median 7.49 5.97 5.75 5.69

Last updated: 6 December 2024 9:11am

About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy  |  RSS Feeds  |  Letters  |  Archive  |  Toolbox  |  Disclaimer
 
Site by Web Developer and eyelovedesign.com