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Morningstar backs off threat to Russell

Morningstar has backed off threats to sue fellow researcher Frank Russell over its analysis of star ratings.

Thursday, November 29th 2001, 10:20AM

by Philip Macalister

Morningstar has backed off threats to sue fellow researcher Frank Russell over its analysis of star ratings.

The stoush between the two firms started after Good Returns ran a feature where Frank Russell's Australasian boss Alan Schoenheimer presented research showing star ratings have little power at predicting future performance. (Read the feature here).

After the article was picked up and published by the Australian media former Morningstar ceo and publisher Graham Rich threatened to sue Frank Russell for defamation.

In a statement issued to Frank Russell yesterday, Morningstar's US-based parent company confirmed that it would not push ahead with any suit filed or intended to be filed against Frank Russell by Rich.

Rich had alleged the Frank Russell report, which used data from Morningstar, was defamatory and had caused the Morningstar star ratings model to suffer reputational damage.

The Russell report concluded that star rating systems are not a reliable indicator of future short-term performance.

"The star rating of a fund appears to have a slight correlation with its past performance, no clear correlation with its future performance, and should not be the sole basis for investment decision-making," he says.

The report found that $1000 invested in an average five star rated Morningstar fund between June 1998 and June 2000 would have produced $1460 at the end of the two year period. But $1000 invested in a three and four star fund would have produced $1481 and $1588 respectively, despite the funds' lower rating.

Schoenheimer says investors and advisers have to be alert to the limitations of star ratings systems.

"The consequences of relying solely on star ratings for making a decision on a future investment are just too great. If you buy a five star ranked fund today, don't bet on it delivering you a five star return in a year's time."

Read the original story here: How much performance is in the stars?


And Graham Rich's original response: Morningstar questions Russell

You can read Philip's blog here: http://www.goodreturns.co.nz/blog/

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AMP Home Loans 7.24 ▼5.69 6.39 6.65
AMP Home Loans $200k+ 7.14 ▼5.59 6.29 6.55
AMP Home Loans LVR <80% - - ▲5.99 ▼6.19
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BNZ - GlobalPlus 6.74 5.89 6.39 6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.15 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 6.74 - - -
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BNZ - TotalMoney 6.74 - - -
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Credit Union South 5.75 - - -
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Finance Direct 6.10 6.45 6.69 7.10
First Credit Union 6.45 - - -
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General Finance 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
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Heretaunga Building Society 6.70 6.00 6.50 -
Housing NZ Corp 6.74 5.99 6.39 6.59
HSBC Premier 6.84 5.95 5.95 6.39
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - 5.75 5.75 5.75
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 6.75 5.99 6.39 -
Kiwibank 6.65 5.79 6.39 6.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank - Capped 5.65 6.50 - -
Kiwibank - Offset 6.55 - - -
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SBS Bank 6.65 5.85 5.99 6.19
SBS Bank Special - - - 5.89
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Silver Fern 5.95 6.10 6.55 7.05
Sovereign 6.85 6.09 6.40 6.65
Sovereign Special - 5.70 5.75 6.19
The Co-operative Bank 6.70 ▼5.70 ▼5.89 6.19
TSB Bank 6.74 5.95 6.19 6.30
TSB Special - - 5.79 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.20 5.75 5.95 -
Westpac 6.59 6.09 6.39 6.65
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