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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Wednesday 19 June 2013  Add your comment
Predictions for floating rates

Following the Reserve Bank announcement last week the market now prices 40 basis points of OCR hikes in the year ahead, and a 30% chance of a 25 point rate hike by year-end.

BNZ says it expects a first OCR hike in March next year. This would be the beginning of a process of ‘normalising’ the OCR from its current historic low of 2.50%. We then see a steady progression of the OCR to a cyclical peak of 4.50%, by mid-2015.

"Our view is based on the premise the economy is now showing broad-based strength, against the backdrop of limited excess capacity to absorb growth. This should lead to inflationary pressures down the track, as should the gradual decline in the NZ Dollar that we see unfolding next year. In addition, we believe house price appreciation will ultimately require a monetary policy response as well as the implementation of macro-prudential tools."

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March a bumper quarter for mortgage lending; quake hits SBS's book

The March quarter was a bumper one for mortgage lending with total lending by all banks jumping to $1.39 billion compared with just $0.32 billion in the December quarter and $0.8 billion in the September quarter last year.

Wednesday, June 27th 2012, 1:23PM

by Jenny Ruth

That's slightly higher than the $1.28 billion banking system growth shown in the Reserve Bank's figures for the March quarter.

With all the banks' disclosure statements now in, the clear winners in the quarter were the government's Kiwibank, which lifted its share of the mortgage market to 6.73% at March 31 from 6.65% three months earlier and 6.35% at June 30 last year, and Westpac, which lifted its share to 20.89% at March 31 from 20.78% three months earlier

ANZ Bank also lifted its market share for the first in many quarters, to 30.3% from 30.29% at December 31 but that was still well down from 30.68% at June 30 last year. (Comparable earlier figures aren't available since all banks only started reporting their data in its current form from the June quarter last year.)

While ASB Bank grew its mortgage book for the first in eight quarters, its market share still eased again to 22.04% at March 31 from 22.18% three months earlier and 22.36% at June 30 last year.

Invercargill-based community-owned SBS Bank is the last to report this quarter and its mortgage book shrank for a fifth successive quarter because of the impact of the Christchurch earthquake.

Its book fell by $17.2 milion overall in the three months with loans with loan-to-valuation ratios (LVRs) above 90% being the only part of the book to grow, up $4.5 million to $330.4 million or 18.9% of the total book compared with 18.5% three months earlier. Of SBS's mortgages with LVRs above 90%, 80% are government-backed Welcome Home Loans.

Mortgages with LVRs below 80% shrank by $18.8 million to $1.36 billion.

That meant SBS's share of the mortgage market eased to 1.02% from 1.04% at December 31 and 1.08% at June 30 last year.

SBS finance general manager Tim Loan says 25% of his bank's business was in Christchurch. While everytime another sizeable quake strikes it further delays the rebuild, Loan says he hopes to see an uplift in the current year building up into the 2013/14 financial year.

Showing the extent to which insurance payouts from the Christchurch quake have built up pending the rebuilding, SBS's funds with financial institutions jumped by $42.2 million to $91 million in the year ended March and its investment securities rose by $145.5 million to $265.7 million.

« New RBNZ governor revealedMove to fixed home loan rates starts »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AMP Home Loans 6.24 5.25 4.99 5.65
AMP Home Loans $200k+ 6.14 5.15 4.89 5.55
ANZ 5.74 5.25 5.45 5.80
ANZ Special - 4.95 - -
ASB Bank 5.75 5.19 5.45 5.75
ASB Bank Special - 4.95 - -
Bank Direct Special - 4.95 - -
BankDirect 5.75 5.19 5.45 5.75
BNZ - Classic - - 5.40 -
BNZ - GlobalPlus 5.99 5.25 5.65 5.80
BNZ - Mortgage One 6.40 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.99 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.99 5.25 5.65 5.80
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.74 - - -
Credit Union Auckland 6.20 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 5.85 5.45 5.45 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 5.75 - - -
eMortgage 6.04 6.15 6.69 7.19
Fantastic Home Loans 5.74 5.19 5.40 5.75
Fidelity Life 5.70 5.85 6.35 -
Finance Direct 6.10 6.45 6.69 7.10
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
First Credit Union 6.45 - - -
General Finance 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
HBS Bank 5.65 4.95 4.99 5.65
Heartland 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 5.25 5.65 -
Housing NZ Corp 5.75 5.25 5.40 5.74
HSBC Premier 5.99 4.99 5.25 5.45
HSBC Premier Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 4.89 5.25 5.65
Kiwibank - Capped 5.65 6.50 - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.50 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Liberty 5.64 - - -
Napier Building Society 5.80 6.00 6.70 -
Nelson Building Society 6.45 5.95 6.25 -
NZ Home Loans 5.85 5.25 5.45 5.75
Perpetual Trust 7.70 - - -
RESIMAC - lo doc 6.59 6.35 6.55 6.90
RESIMAC LVR <80% 5.59 5.35 5.55 5.90
SBS Bank 5.65 4.94 4.99 5.65
Silver Fern 5.95 6.10 6.55 7.05
Southern Cross 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
Sovereign 5.85 5.19 5.45 5.75
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
The Co-operative Bank 5.70 4.94 5.35 5.75
The Co-operative Bank Special - - - -
TSB Bank 5.79 5.25 5.30 5.75
TSB Bank Special - ▼4.88 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.20 6.70 6.95 -
Westpac 6.24 5.19 5.45 5.90
Westpac - Capped rates - 6.50 - -
Westpac LVR >80% - 4.94 - -
Median 5.85 5.25 5.45 5.75

Last updated: 16 June 2013 9:53pm

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