About Good Returns  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  RSS Feeds Other Sites:   depositrates.co.nz  |   landlords.co.nz
Last Article Uploaded: Wednesday, June 19th, 3:07PM
Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Wednesday 19 June 2013  Add your comment
Predictions for floating rates

Following the Reserve Bank announcement last week the market now prices 40 basis points of OCR hikes in the year ahead, and a 30% chance of a 25 point rate hike by year-end.

BNZ says it expects a first OCR hike in March next year. This would be the beginning of a process of ‘normalising’ the OCR from its current historic low of 2.50%. We then see a steady progression of the OCR to a cyclical peak of 4.50%, by mid-2015.

"Our view is based on the premise the economy is now showing broad-based strength, against the backdrop of limited excess capacity to absorb growth. This should lead to inflationary pressures down the track, as should the gradual decline in the NZ Dollar that we see unfolding next year. In addition, we believe house price appreciation will ultimately require a monetary policy response as well as the implementation of macro-prudential tools."

rss
Latest Headlines

Move to fixed home loan rates starts

The price war between banks in fixed-rate mortgages is starting to shift borrowers out of floating rates.

Sunday, July 1st 2012, 12:47PM

by Jenny Ruth

The latest Reserve Bank figures show floating rate mortgages accounted for 61.7% of total mortgage lending by registered banks at the end of May, down from 63.1% at the end of April.

That's the first monthly decline since August last year when floating rate mortgages accounted for 56.3% of the total. August last year was clearly an aberration since before that the percentage of floating rate mortgages had been climbing since August 2009 when they accounted for 22.8% of the total.

The bulk of the shift is occurring into the one to two-year fixed-rates which accounted for 13.3% of the total in May, up from 11.8% in April and as low as 9.6% in February. Pre-GFC, two-year fixed-rate mortgages were the most popular.

Other central bank figures showed the price war has pushed mortgage approvals significantly higher but credit growth has barely lifted.

Household credit growth rose a seasonally adjusted 0.2% in May for a third successive month and an improvement of the zero to 0.1% growth seen in the previous seven months. However, growth in May 2007 was 1% and in May 2006 it was 1.1%.

Nick Tuffley, chief economist at ASB Bank, says the credit growth figures are net and are being subdued significantly by insurance payouts in Christchurch but the rebuilding is only just beginning.

Net mortgage lending was just 1.5% higher than in May last year but the $558 million growth in May was significantly up on April's $343 million growth.

Tuffley says the May growth is the strongest since October 2009. The indications are June will be a strong lending month too.

There were 7,756 mortgages approved in the week ended June 22 and approvals in the 13 weeks ended June 22 were 27.6% higher than in the same 13 weeks of last year.

Year-on-year growth on this basis has been above 20% since the week ended May 4 when it was 20.8% and the rate has accelerated every week since then.

However, Chris Green at First NZ Capital says this improvement may not last because consumer confidence is coming off the boil.

Clearly boosted by those Christchurch insurance payouts, retail deposits were up 8.7% in May compared with May last year, up from the 7.6% annual increase in April.

Back in 2010, annual growth rates in term deposits ranged from as low as 1.3% in February up to 5.9% in December.

« March a bumper quarter for mortgage lending; quake hits SBS's bookKiwibank offers 4.99% home loan rate »

Special Offers

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Add your comment:
Your name:
Your name:
Your email:
Not displayed to the public
Comment:
Comments to Good Returns go through an approval process. Comments which are defamatory, abusive or in some way deemed inappropriate will not be approved. It is allowable to use some form of non-de-plume for your name, however we recommend real email addresses are used. Comments from free email addresses such as Gmail, Yahoo, Hotmail, etc may not be approved.

 

print

Printable version  

print

Email to a friend
Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AMP Home Loans 6.24 5.25 4.99 5.65
AMP Home Loans $200k+ 6.14 5.15 4.89 5.55
ANZ 5.74 5.25 5.45 5.80
ANZ Special - 4.95 - -
ASB Bank 5.75 5.19 5.45 5.75
ASB Bank Special - 4.95 - -
Bank Direct Special - 4.95 - -
BankDirect 5.75 5.19 5.45 5.75
BNZ - Classic - - 5.40 -
BNZ - GlobalPlus 5.99 5.25 5.65 5.80
BNZ - Mortgage One 6.40 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.99 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.99 5.25 5.65 5.80
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.74 - - -
Credit Union Auckland 6.20 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 5.85 5.45 5.45 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 5.75 - - -
eMortgage 6.04 6.15 6.69 7.19
Fantastic Home Loans 5.74 5.19 5.40 5.75
Fidelity Life 5.70 5.85 6.35 -
Finance Direct 6.10 6.45 6.69 7.10
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
First Credit Union 6.45 - - -
General Finance 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
HBS Bank 5.65 ▼4.95 4.99 5.65
Heartland 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 5.25 5.65 -
Housing NZ Corp 5.75 5.25 5.40 5.74
HSBC Premier 5.99 4.99 5.25 5.45
HSBC Premier Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 4.89 5.25 5.65
Kiwibank - Capped 5.65 6.50 - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.50 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Liberty 5.64 - - -
Napier Building Society 5.80 6.00 6.70 -
Nelson Building Society 6.45 5.95 6.25 -
NZ Home Loans 5.85 5.25 5.45 5.75
Perpetual Trust 7.70 - - -
RESIMAC - lo doc 6.59 6.35 6.55 6.90
RESIMAC LVR <80% 5.59 5.35 5.55 5.90
SBS Bank 5.65 ▼4.94 4.99 5.65
Silver Fern 5.95 6.10 6.55 7.05
Southern Cross 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
Sovereign 5.85 5.19 5.45 5.75
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
The Co-operative Bank 5.70 ▼4.94 5.35 5.75
The Co-operative Bank Special - - - -
TSB Bank 5.79 5.25 5.30 5.75
TSB Bank Special - ▼4.88 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.20 6.70 6.95 -
Westpac 6.24 5.19 5.45 5.90
Westpac - Capped rates - 6.50 - -
Westpac LVR >80% - 4.94 - -
Median 5.85 5.25 5.45 5.75

Last updated: 16 June 2013 9:53pm

Previous News

MORE NEWS»

News Bites
Compare Mortgage Rates
Compare
from
to
for
To graph multiple lenders, hold down Ctrl key while clicking in list box
Find a Mortgage Broker

Add your company

Use map
About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy  |  RSS Feeds  |  Letters  |  Archive  |  Toolbox
 
Site by PHP Developer and eyelovedesign.com