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Selling to beat slump is a mug's game

Q. You mentioned in last weekend's Herald a friend who is thinking of selling her house and renting, in anticipation of a decline in the house market. I have seen this idea come around the track several times but have never heard of anyone who succeeded at it.

Monday, July 4th 2005, 7:58AM

by The Landlord

If it were such a good idea, you would think there would be plenty of people who could say, "It worked. I sold my house, invested the proceeds and rented a comparable house. After two years, I cashed up and bought a comparable house for 20 per cent less than I sold the old one.

"After deducting rent from investment earnings and factoring in agents' commission, legal costs, house moving and an allowance for my time, I'm $80,000 better off than I would otherwise have been."

I've never heard anyone tell that story. Have you? If there are no success stories, should the idea be enshrined in the Hall of Financial Myths?


A. Probably. First, let's set the record straight. My friend is planning to sell her house and rent, and may never buy again. She's not trying to time the market.

If she were, though, I would be rather worried. I can think of four reasons most people don't, or shouldn't, try it:

* The hassle of selling, moving, buying and moving again.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 3.99 - -
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.49 4.89 5.19
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.99 5.39 5.69
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.79 6.05
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kainga Ora 5.69 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
ANZ 5.79 5.09 5.49 5.79
ASB Bank 5.79 4.59 4.95 5.19
TSB Special 5.79 4.39 4.89 5.15
Unity Special 5.79 4.49 4.69 -
Unity Standard 5.79 5.29 5.49 -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.69 5.09
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.49 5.75
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.59 4.95 5.19
Westpac 5.89 5.09 5.49 ▼5.59
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.89 5.25
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.79 -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.69 5.95
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
Nelson Building Society 6.99 4.59 4.67 -
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 4.69 5.19
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.39 - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.89 5.15
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 4.89 ▼4.99
Median 5.94 4.59 4.95 5.19

Last updated: 20 February 2026 5:03pm

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