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Economists split on whether Reserve Bank will hike cash rate

Economists are split on whether the Reserve Bank will hike the Official Cash Rate when it publishes its December Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday.

Monday, December 1st 2003, 7:37AM

by The Landlord

They say that while the booming housing market requires an interest rate dousing, a rate rise could give the kiwi dollar another lift, further curtailing incomes of exporters and reducing the price of imports.

Eight of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News say the rate will be unchanged on Thursday. Seven say central bank Governor Alan Bollard may raise the rate a quarter point to 5.25 percent. All but one economist expects the rate will be higher by March amid concern inflation will gather pace as unemployment falls and consumers spend more. The 12 percent rise by the New Zealand dollar against its US counterpart the past three months means Bollard can afford to wait this week, said Ulf Schoefisch, chief economist at Deutsche Bank AG in Auckland.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.49 4.75 5.09
ANZ 5.79 5.09 5.29 5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 4.69 5.09
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 4.75 5.09
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.69 5.09
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.39 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.49 4.79 5.09
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.99 5.29 5.59
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora 5.69 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society 6.49 4.59 4.69 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.29 5.69
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.69 5.09
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 3.99 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special 5.79 4.49 4.00 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special 5.79 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard 5.79 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.79 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 5.35 5.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 4.75 5.05
Median 5.94 4.59 4.87 5.09

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